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Culture · Polymarket

Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
84.00%
Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 15Wed 16Thu 17Fri 18Sat 19Sep 20Mon 21Tue 22Wed 23Thu 24Fri 25Sat 26Sep 27Mon 28Tue 29Wed 30OctoberFri 02Sat 03Oct 04Mon 05Tue 06Wed 07102030405060708090100%84.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 95.2% in 14d (92.0–97.1%)+0.03pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$17.8K
Momentum
+0.03pt/day

Your call

The market says 84.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price84.00%
Spread + depth+1.00 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability85.00%
1176
Shares
$176
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (2.4%)
Mid Price
84.0¢
Total Depth
$17,960
Bid/Ask Imbalance
29% bid
Bids (Buy)
83.0¢342
82.0¢240
81.0¢354
80.0¢267
79.0¢45
76.0¢71
75.0¢114
74.0¢20
Asks (Sell)
85.0¢1,350
86.0¢1,659
88.0¢4,451
89.0¢227
90.0¢1,126
92.0¢1,299
93.0¢343
94.0¢473
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
85.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
85.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
88.66¢+4.31%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 84.00%, based on $17.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.