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AI · Polymarket

Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?

Trade on Polymarket →
98.00%
06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMSat 0503 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PM0102030405060708090100%98.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$920

Your call

The market says 98.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price98.00%
Spread + depth+1.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability99.50%
1005
Shares
$5
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (2.0%)
Mid Price
98.0¢
Total Depth
$548
Bid/Ask Imbalance
21% bid
Bids (Buy)
97.0¢4
96.1¢19
94.0¢50
91.5¢21
90.0¢20
6.0¢10
4.0¢10
1.1¢86
Asks (Sell)
99.0¢77
99.7¢207
99.8¢44
99.9¢105
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
99.17¢+0.17%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
99.63¢+0.64%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
99.63¢+0.64%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 98.00%, based on $920 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 8, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.