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Politics · Polymarket

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Trade on Polymarket →
2.70%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 150123456%2.70%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 2.8% in 14d (2.4–3.3%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$52.5K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.2¢ (7.4%)
Mid Price
2.7¢
Total Depth
$21,473,022
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
2.6¢20
2.5¢135
2.4¢160
2.3¢166
2.2¢161
2.1¢206
2.0¢414
1.9¢865
Asks (Sell)
2.8¢2,073
3.0¢1,245
3.1¢2,811
3.2¢2,782
3.3¢1,717
3.4¢3,276
3.5¢3,802
3.6¢2,354
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
2.88¢+3.02%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
3.46¢+23.49%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
8.39¢+199.82%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

PredictItWho will win the 2028 US presidential election?: Vance
21.50%
Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 2.70%, based on $52.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around April 30, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.