Skip to content
Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Economics · Polymarket

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Trade on Polymarket →
98.45%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 097880828486889092949698100%98.45%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 99.1% in 9d (98.5–99.5%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$2.8K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.3¢ (0.3%)
Mid Price
98.4¢
Total Depth
$16,855
Bid/Ask Imbalance
77% bid
Bids (Buy)
98.3¢18
98.2¢465
98.1¢303
98.0¢100
97.9¢100
97.8¢100
97.7¢100
97.6¢700
Asks (Sell)
98.6¢190
98.9¢202
99.0¢1,380
99.9¢2,115
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
98.60¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
98.90¢+0.31%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
99.46¢+0.88%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

Manifold🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
36.00%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 98.45%, based on $2.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 10, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.