Politics · Polymarket

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

99.60%

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 99.6% on "Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", backed by $84.1K in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $84.1K

Your call

The market says 99.6%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side

Order

PolymarketLive order book

Quoted price99.50%

Spread + depth0.00 pts

Fee0.00% of stake

Break-even probability99.50%

1005

Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

0.2¢ (0.2%)

Mid Price

99.6¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$55,942

Bid/Ask Imbalance

92% bid

Bids (Buy)

99.5¢1,127

99.4¢4,000

99.0¢17,572

98.1¢958

96.5¢56

96.0¢20

94.0¢730

93.0¢225

Asks (Sell)

99.7¢220

99.8¢19

99.9¢4,317

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

99.70¢0.00%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

99.85¢+0.15%

avg fill · slippage

$10,000 order

99.89¢+0.19%

avg fill · slippage

Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 99.60%, based on $84.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 13, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.