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Sports · Polymarket

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

Trade on Polymarket →
38.50%
27.9% calibrated
09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMFri 0403 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM3032343638404244%38.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$660.6K

Your call

The market says 38.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price38.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability39.00%
2564
Shares
$1,564
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.6%)
Mid Price
38.5¢
Total Depth
$380,966
Bid/Ask Imbalance
38% bid
Bids (Buy)
38.0¢73,570
37.0¢34,548
36.0¢107,839
35.0¢19,196
34.0¢14,569
33.0¢7,078
32.0¢85,080
31.0¢50,000
Asks (Sell)
39.0¢52,166
40.0¢147,211
41.0¢72,705
42.0¢339
43.0¢183
44.0¢52,793
48.0¢38
49.0¢3,490
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
39.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
39.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
39.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)38.50%→ 27.9% calibrated
Platforms agree closely — 0pt spread.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketUS Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul38.50%38¢ / 39¢
81%
LimitlessAlexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul38.50%36.3¢ / 40.7¢
19%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 38.50%, based on $660.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 11, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (38.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 38.50%. See the full comparison table below.