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Sports · Polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov

Trade on Polymarket →
77.50%
09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMFri 0403 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM7274767880828486%77.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$77.1K

Your call

The market says 77.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price77.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability78.00%
1282
Shares
$282
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.3%)
Mid Price
77.5¢
Total Depth
$377,883
Bid/Ask Imbalance
30% bid
Bids (Buy)
77.0¢16,548
76.0¢73,147
75.0¢9,058
74.0¢2,129
73.0¢260
72.0¢2,550
71.0¢61
69.0¢58
Asks (Sell)
78.0¢19,412
79.0¢123,968
80.0¢26,144
81.0¢14,249
82.0¢5,306
83.0¢2,505
85.0¢500
87.0¢250
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
78.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
78.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
78.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 77.50%, based on $77.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 11, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.