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Culture · Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
7.50%
12 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PMMon 2812 PM05101520253035404550%7.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$53.3K

Your call

The market says 7.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price7.50%
Spread + depth+5.28 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability12.78%
7825
Shares
$6,825
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (13.3%)
Mid Price
7.5¢
Total Depth
$14,689
Bid/Ask Imbalance
4% bid
Bids (Buy)
7.0¢4,139
6.0¢493
5.0¢720
4.0¢810
3.0¢3,528
2.0¢1,153
1.0¢3,078
Asks (Sell)
8.0¢274
9.0¢1,045
10.0¢820
11.0¢252
12.0¢523
13.0¢1,022
14.0¢1,978
15.0¢576
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
8.76¢+9.50%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
12.78¢+59.75%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
37.10¢+363.71%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 7.50%, based on $53.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 29, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.