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Sports · Polymarket

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?

Trade on Polymarket →
55.50%
53.9% calibrated
12 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 194850525456586062%55.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$275.9K

Your call

The market says 55.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price55.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability56.00%
1786
Shares
$786
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.8%)
Mid Price
55.5¢
Total Depth
$1,438,720
Bid/Ask Imbalance
29% bid
Bids (Buy)
55.0¢114,872
54.0¢429,915
53.0¢98,618
52.0¢62,509
51.0¢55,185
50.0¢5,382
49.0¢6,479
48.0¢1,200
Asks (Sell)
56.0¢181,476
57.0¢360,733
58.0¢439,078
59.0¢400,402
60.0¢200,885
61.0¢25,467
62.0¢7,213
63.0¢10,000
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
56.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
56.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
56.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 7 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

FC Barcelona
81.50%
Newcastle United FC
60.50%
Toulouse FC
57.50%
Arsenal FCViewing
55.50%
Paris FC
49.50%
Tottenham Hotspur FC
48.50%
Aston Villa FC
25.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessBrighton to win by 2 or more goals vs Arsenal?
6.55%
Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 55.50%, based on $275.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 19, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.