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Sports · Polymarket

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?

Trade on Polymarket →
25.50%
26.0% calibrated
12 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 192224262830323436%25.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$53.9K

Your call

The market says 25.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price25.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability26.00%
3846
Shares
$2,846
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.9%)
Mid Price
25.5¢
Total Depth
$400,608
Bid/Ask Imbalance
20% bid
Bids (Buy)
25.0¢14,831
24.0¢51,469
23.0¢100,512
22.0¢62,770
21.0¢63,630
20.0¢19,166
19.0¢35,472
18.0¢5,084
Asks (Sell)
26.0¢215,116
27.0¢414,955
28.0¢51,987
29.0¢36,739
30.0¢28,194
31.0¢7,903
32.0¢5,027
33.0¢5,019
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
26.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
26.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
26.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 7 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

FC Barcelona
81.50%
Newcastle United FC
60.50%
Toulouse FC
57.50%
Arsenal FC
55.50%
Paris FC
49.50%
Tottenham Hotspur FC
48.50%
Aston Villa FCViewing
25.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessTottenham to win by 2 or more goals vs Aston Villa?
25.10%
Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 25.50%, based on $53.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 19, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.