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Sports · Polymarket

Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?

Trade on Polymarket →
49.50%
48.1% calibrated
12 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 193840424446485052%49.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$49.2K

Your call

The market says 49.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price49.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability50.00%
2000
Shares
$1,000
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.0%)
Mid Price
49.5¢
Total Depth
$203,556
Bid/Ask Imbalance
40% bid
Bids (Buy)
49.0¢29,968
48.0¢34,129
47.0¢64,076
46.0¢13,882
45.0¢14,293
44.0¢98
43.0¢5,060
39.0¢661
Asks (Sell)
50.0¢7,188
51.0¢47,050
52.0¢29,504
53.0¢20,997
54.0¢12,049
55.0¢5,036
56.0¢10,036
57.0¢5,019
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
50.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
50.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
50.64¢+1.27%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 7 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

FC Barcelona
81.50%
Newcastle United FC
60.50%
Toulouse FC
57.50%
Arsenal FC
55.50%
Paris FCViewing
49.50%
Tottenham Hotspur FC
48.50%
Aston Villa FC
25.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 49.50%, based on $49.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 19, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.