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Sports · Polymarket

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-09-19?

Trade on Polymarket →
57.50%
56.2% calibrated
12 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 194850525456586062%57.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$67.2K

Your call

The market says 57.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price57.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability58.00%
1724
Shares
$724
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.7%)
Mid Price
57.5¢
Total Depth
$234,278
Bid/Ask Imbalance
40% bid
Bids (Buy)
57.0¢25,090
56.0¢53,651
55.0¢33,117
54.0¢23,548
53.0¢6,319
52.0¢3,520
51.0¢5,065
50.0¢9,040
Asks (Sell)
58.0¢28,370
59.0¢42,373
60.0¢16,170
61.0¢15,002
62.0¢8,098
63.0¢5,010
64.0¢10,000
65.0¢5,040
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
58.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
58.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
58.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 7 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

FC Barcelona
81.50%
Newcastle United FC
60.50%
Toulouse FCViewing
57.50%
Arsenal FC
55.50%
Paris FC
49.50%
Tottenham Hotspur FC
48.50%
Aston Villa FC
25.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-09-19?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 57.50%, based on $67.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 19, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.