64.50%
Current Fed Funds Rate3.63%as of 2026-07-01· via FRED (St. Louis Fed)
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 64.5% on "Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?", backed by $15.8K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $15.8K
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (1.6%)
Mid Price
64.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$1,500,091
Bid/Ask Imbalance
5% bid
Bids (Buy)
64.0¢3,105
63.0¢3,063
62.0¢63,874
61.0¢13,213
59.0¢3,500
58.0¢6,854
57.0¢622
55.0¢1,000
Asks (Sell)
65.0¢4,594
66.0¢6,943
67.0¢8,859
68.0¢18,870
69.0¢32,256
70.0¢1,667
71.0¢1,068
72.0¢791
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
65.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
65.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
65.94¢+1.44%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
Manifold🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
36.00%Same bet?
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 64.50%, based on $15.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 9, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.