42.50%
Current Fed Funds Rate3.63%as of 2026-07-01· via FRED (St. Louis Fed)
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 57.5% on "Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?", backed by $72.4K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $72.4K
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (2.4%)
Mid Price
42.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$1,474,760
Bid/Ask Imbalance
3% bid
Bids (Buy)
42.0¢7,699
41.0¢3,247
40.0¢7,167
39.0¢17,007
38.0¢4,105
37.0¢108
36.0¢7,500
33.0¢5,037
Asks (Sell)
43.0¢2,075
44.0¢924
45.0¢8,528
46.0¢2,533
47.0¢2,200
48.0¢200
49.0¢4,917
50.0¢6,929
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
43.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
43.11¢+0.25%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
46.09¢+7.19%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
Manifold🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
47.41%Same bet?
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 42.50%, based on $72.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 9, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.