15.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 84.5% on "Iran leadership change by December 31?", backed by $17.7K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $17.7K
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (6.5%)
Mid Price
15.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$333,537
Bid/Ask Imbalance
45% bid
Bids (Buy)
15.0¢56,186
14.0¢107,035
13.0¢728,022
12.0¢4,505
11.0¢14,331
10.0¢21,228
9.0¢2,283
8.0¢28,899
Asks (Sell)
16.0¢36,993
17.0¢22,016
18.0¢15,791
19.0¢8,270
20.0¢1,708
21.0¢1,695
22.0¢4,442
23.0¢2,605
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
16.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
16.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
16.42¢+2.65%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Iran leadership change by December 31?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 15.50%, based on $17.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.