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Sports · Polymarket

Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-09-15?

Trade on Polymarket →
34.50%
35.2% calibrated
Thu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PM152025303540455055606570%24.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$119.9K

Your call

The market says 34.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price34.50%
Spread + depth−8.87 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability25.63%
3902
Shares
$2,902
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (4.1%)
Mid Price
24.5¢
Total Depth
$535,569
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
24.0¢39
23.0¢2,650
22.0¢7,884
21.0¢6,090
20.0¢3,848
19.0¢30
18.0¢30
17.0¢30
Asks (Sell)
25.0¢1,456
26.0¢7,976
27.0¢3,080
28.0¢3,100
29.0¢30
30.0¢142
31.0¢159
35.0¢3,000
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
25.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
25.63¢+2.51%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
39.32¢+57.27%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 14 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Al Ain FC
92.50%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
87.50%
Real Madrid CF
80.50%
Arsenal FC
77.50%
Deportivo Alavés
56.50%
Liverpool FC
54.50%
Genoa CFCViewing
34.50%
RKS Rakow Czestochowa
33.50%
Tottenham Hotspur FC
21.50%
Valencia CF
16.50%
Elche CF
6.50%
FC Südtirol
4.50%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
3.00%
Al Nassr Club
1.35%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-09-15?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 34.50%, based on $119.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.