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Politics · Kalshi

Chris Christie — Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

Trade on Kalshi →
35.50%
30.98% fee-adjusted
10 PM2426283032343638%31.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$3.0K

Your call

The market says 35.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
KalshiLive best ask
Quoted price35.50%
Spread + depth+1.50 pts
Fee4.41% of stake
Break-even probability38.63%
2703
Shares
$1,659
Net if it wins

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

PredictItWho will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: Trump Jr.
4.00%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Chris Christie — Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?"?

As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 35.50%, based on $3.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2028, per Kalshi's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.