11.50%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 88.5% on "NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?", backed by $52.4K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $52.4K
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (8.7%)
Mid Price
11.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$80,047
Bid/Ask Imbalance
4% bid
Bids (Buy)
11.0¢2,029
10.0¢5,413
9.0¢3,312
8.0¢6,573
7.0¢4,261
6.0¢1,436
5.0¢2,125
4.0¢5,226
Asks (Sell)
12.0¢290
13.0¢625
14.0¢920
15.0¢1,700
16.0¢500
17.0¢2,030
18.0¢420
19.0¢320
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
12.63¢+5.28%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
15.43¢+28.56%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
35.90¢+199.16%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Politics Markets
Polymarket▼ 0.1524H
1.45%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
1.45%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $65.0K
Polymarket▼ 0.1524H
2.20%+4445
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2.20%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $186.2K
Polymarket▼ 1.524H
1.95%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?
1.95%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $140.7K
Polymarket▲ 0.624H
2.55%+3822
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2.55%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $140.0K
Polymarket▲ 124H
70.50%-239
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
70.50%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $105.0K
Polymarket▼ 424H
5.50%+1718
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
5.50%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $77.0K
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 11.50%, based on $52.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.