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Culture · Polymarket

Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?

Trade on Polymarket →
21.00%
Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 15Wed 16Thu 1751015202530354045%21.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 31.8% in 14d (25.0–39.6%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$1.2K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 21.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price21.00%
Spread + depth+30.38 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability51.38%
1946
Shares
$946
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (9.5%)
Mid Price
21.0¢
Total Depth
$1,288
Bid/Ask Imbalance
6% bid
Bids (Buy)
20.0¢140
19.0¢100
18.0¢17
17.0¢140
15.0¢20
1.0¢8
Asks (Sell)
22.0¢40
23.0¢486
24.0¢80
25.0¢244
26.0¢163
36.0¢30
66.0¢125
67.0¢55
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
22.91¢+4.13%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
51.38¢+133.53%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
56.06¢+154.81%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 21.00%, based on $1.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.