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Economics · Polymarket

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?

Trade on Polymarket →
21.20%
Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 190102030405060%21.25%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 26.7% in 14d (12.6–47.9%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$322
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 21.2%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price21.20%
Spread + depth+46.26 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability67.46%
1482
Shares
$482
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
34.3¢ (161.4%)
Mid Price
21.3¢
Total Depth
$11,939
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
4.1¢10
4.0¢76
1.7¢50
1.6¢197
1.5¢330
1.0¢10
0.3¢7
0.2¢115
Asks (Sell)
38.4¢22
38.5¢33
47.0¢55
47.1¢235
47.2¢10
47.9¢100
50.1¢400
50.2¢5
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
44.95¢+17.05%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
67.46¢+75.67%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
95.08¢+147.61%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 21.20%, based on $322 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.