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Politics · Polymarket

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Trade on Polymarket →
68.00%
Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 27Tue 2956586062646668707274767880%68.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 66.2% in 14d (60.3–71.7%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$10.1K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 68.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price68.00%
Spread + depth+1.36 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability69.36%
1442
Shares
$442
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (2.9%)
Mid Price
68.0¢
Total Depth
$99,024
Bid/Ask Imbalance
17% bid
Bids (Buy)
67.0¢1,052
66.0¢2,626
65.0¢4,010
64.0¢387
63.0¢250
62.0¢365
61.0¢993
60.0¢1,010
Asks (Sell)
69.0¢928
70.0¢2,778
71.0¢1,783
72.0¢2,961
73.0¢542
74.0¢714
75.0¢1,402
76.0¢2,691
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
69.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
69.36¢+0.52%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
72.49¢+5.06%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 68.00%, based on $10.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.