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Culture · Polymarket

Will Minnesota have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?

Trade on Polymarket →
78.00%
Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 132030405060708090100%78.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 78.6% in 14d (61.0–89.6%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$210
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
8.0¢ (10.3%)
Mid Price
78.0¢
Total Depth
$317
Bid/Ask Imbalance
44% bid
Bids (Buy)
74.0¢26
73.0¢26
69.0¢50
64.0¢35
63.0¢68
4.0¢9
3.0¢12
1.0¢42
Asks (Sell)
82.0¢100
89.0¢10
90.0¢20
95.0¢13
96.0¢13
98.0¢30
99.0¢15
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
83.26¢+1.53%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
88.55¢+7.99%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
88.55¢+7.99%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Minnesota have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 78.00%, based on $210 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 12, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.