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Politics · Polymarket

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Trade on Polymarket →
91.50%
Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 27Tue 29OctoberSat 03Mon 05556065707580859095100%91.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 93.9% in 12d (91.3–95.8%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$10.2K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 91.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price91.50%
Spread + depth+1.44 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability92.94%
1076
Shares
$76
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.1%)
Mid Price
91.5¢
Total Depth
$90,167
Bid/Ask Imbalance
24% bid
Bids (Buy)
91.0¢5
90.0¢283
89.0¢541
88.0¢203
87.0¢485
86.0¢440
85.0¢382
81.0¢367
Asks (Sell)
92.0¢62
93.0¢1,019
94.0¢2,203
95.0¢3,206
96.0¢6,267
97.0¢19,248
98.0¢19,175
99.0¢18,946
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
92.43¢+0.46%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
92.94¢+1.02%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
94.96¢+3.22%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 91.50%, based on $10.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 5, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.