Economics · Polymarket

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Q: What is the current probability for "Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?"?

As of the latest build, live consensus prices this at 60%. See the live page for real-time odds and full price history.

Q: Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket — see the link on this page for the live order book.

Trade on Polymarket →

59.50%

Model projection: 63.0% in 14d (48.5–75.5%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 59.5% on "Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?", backed by $5.8K in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $5.8K
Momentum: +0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

3.0¢ (5.0%)

Mid Price

59.5¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$395,851

Bid/Ask Imbalance

2% bid

Bids (Buy)

58.0¢724

57.0¢205

56.0¢259

55.0¢166

53.0¢447

52.0¢900

51.0¢1,000

27.0¢10

Asks (Sell)

61.0¢343

62.0¢1,757

63.0¢1,456

64.0¢1,439

65.0¢830

66.0¢1,786

67.0¢1,111

68.0¢1,100

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

61.00¢0.00%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

61.79¢+1.29%

avg fill · slippage

$10,000 order

71.94¢+17.94%

avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 59.50%, based on $5.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 16, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.