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Culture · Polymarket

Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?

Trade on Polymarket →
19.00%
01 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM11 AM12 PM01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM06 PM1618202224262830%19.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$2.0K

Your call

The market says 19.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price19.00%
Spread + depth+40.75 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability59.75%
1674
Shares
$674
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
4.0¢ (21.1%)
Mid Price
19.0¢
Total Depth
$6,277
Bid/Ask Imbalance
8% bid
Bids (Buy)
17.0¢500
16.0¢60
15.0¢478
11.0¢1,120
10.0¢505
7.0¢286
6.0¢333
5.0¢1,400
Asks (Sell)
21.0¢40
22.0¢40
23.0¢20
24.0¢20
26.0¢20
27.0¢121
28.0¢27
30.0¢22
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
28.28¢+34.67%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
59.75¢+184.53%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
88.42¢+321.04%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 19.00%, based on $2.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.