Gavin Newsom — Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
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Live Kalshi consensus prices "Yes" at 84% on "Gavin Newsom — Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?", backed by $0 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $0
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Your call
The market says 84.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
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True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
Other Real Candidates — 38 Total
Every other real Kalshi contract for this exact same question, ranked by real live probability.
Compare Across Platforms
| Platform | Question | Live Price | Real Bid / Ask | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Furthest from consensus | Gavin Newsom — Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? | 84.0% | 83¢ / 85¢ | 20% |
| Polymarket | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 14.45% | 14.4¢ / 14.5¢ | 80% |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Gavin Newsom — Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?"?
As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 84.00%, based on $0 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2028, per Kalshi's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Polymarket (14.45%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 28.36%. See the full comparison table below.