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Sports · Polymarket

Will Venezuela win on 2026-09-28?

Trade on Polymarket →
6.50%
Tue 15Wed 16Thu 17Fri 18Sat 19Sep 20Mon 21Tue 22Wed 23Thu 24Fri 25Sat 26Sep 27Mon 280102030405060%6.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$34.1K

Your call

The market says 6.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price6.50%
Spread + depth+0.89 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability7.39%
13539
Shares
$12,539
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (15.4%)
Mid Price
6.5¢
Total Depth
$297,366
Bid/Ask Imbalance
3% bid
Bids (Buy)
6.0¢22,236
5.0¢37,731
4.0¢61,722
3.0¢36,564
2.0¢80,539
1.0¢5,894
Asks (Sell)
7.0¢8,314
8.0¢13,582
9.0¢60,449
10.0¢8,290
11.0¢48,634
12.0¢7,465
13.0¢5,368
14.0¢6,646
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
7.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
7.39¢+5.51%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
9.14¢+30.61%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 7 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Japan
80.50%
France
51.50%
Montenegro
37.50%
Korea Republic
37.50%
Türkiye
35.50%
Armenia
32.50%
VenezuelaViewing
6.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Venezuela win on 2026-09-28?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 6.50%, based on $34.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 28, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.