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Sports · Polymarket

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28?

Trade on Polymarket →
37.50%
36.5% calibrated
Tue 15Wed 16Thu 17Fri 18Sat 19Sep 20Mon 21Tue 22Wed 23Thu 24Fri 25Sat 26Sep 27Mon 283638404244464850%37.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$39.0K

Your call

The market says 37.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price37.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability38.00%
2632
Shares
$1,632
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.7%)
Mid Price
37.5¢
Total Depth
$226,441
Bid/Ask Imbalance
10% bid
Bids (Buy)
37.0¢1,602
36.0¢11,414
35.0¢20,636
34.0¢15,775
33.0¢5,627
32.0¢1,191
31.0¢1,499
30.0¢745
Asks (Sell)
38.0¢4,889
39.0¢15,605
40.0¢22,452
41.0¢8,332
42.0¢9,401
43.0¢5,286
44.0¢4,541
45.0¢4,233
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
38.00¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
38.00¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
39.01¢+2.66%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 7 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Japan
80.50%
France
51.50%
Korea RepublicViewing
37.50%
Montenegro
37.50%
Türkiye
35.50%
Armenia
32.50%
Venezuela
6.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 37.50%, based on $39.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 28, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.