Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Sports · Polymarket

Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28?

Trade on Polymarket →
37.50%
38.8% calibrated
Wed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PMMon 28303234363840424446485052%37.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$49.1K

Your call

The market says 37.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price37.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability38.00%
2632
Shares
$1,632
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.7%)
Mid Price
37.5¢
Total Depth
$133,871
Bid/Ask Imbalance
27% bid
Bids (Buy)
37.0¢10,701
36.0¢24,385
35.0¢11,933
34.0¢22,062
33.0¢17,995
32.0¢5,772
31.0¢6,485
30.0¢95
Asks (Sell)
38.0¢20,958
39.0¢35,205
40.0¢12,965
41.0¢17,815
42.0¢4,056
43.0¢5,280
44.0¢4,717
45.0¢5,577
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
38.00¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
38.00¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
38.20¢+0.52%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 7 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Japan
80.50%
France
51.50%
MontenegroViewing
37.50%
Korea Republic
37.50%
Türkiye
35.50%
Armenia
32.50%
Venezuela
6.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Similar Sports Markets

Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 0.524H
2.70%+3604

Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?

2.70%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $38.2K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 724H
80.50%-413

Will Japan win on 2026-09-28?

80.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $162.3K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
35.50%+182

Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28?

35.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $39.8K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
51.50%-106

Will France win on 2026-09-28?

51.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $135.0K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 124H
32.50%+208

Will Armenia win on 2026-09-28?

32.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $63.2K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 0.0524H
0.80%

Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?

0.80%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $36.2K

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 37.50%, based on $49.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 28, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.