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Politics · Kalshi

James Talarico — Who will win the next presidential election?

Trade on Kalshi →
1.00%
0.00% fee-adjusted
Jun 07Jun 14Jun 21Jun 28Jul 05Jul 12Jul 19Jul 26Aug 02Aug 09Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30Sep 06Sep 1300.511.522.533.54%1.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 1.0% in 14d (1.0–1.0%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$748
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Other Real Candidates — 30 Total

Every other real Kalshi contract for this exact same question, ranked by real live probability.

J.D. Vance
21.00%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11.50%
Marco Rubio
11.50%
Jon Ossoff
11.50%
Gavin Newsom
8.45%
Kamala Harris
4.10%
Pete Buttigieg
3.50%
Mark Kelly
3.50%
Ron DeSantis
3.25%
Donald J. Trump
3.05%
Andy Beshear
2.95%
Josh Shapiro
2.70%
Tucker Carlson
2.15%
Rahm Emanuel
1.50%
Wes Moore
1.35%
Donald J. Trump Jr.
1.05%
Thomas Massie
1.00%
James TalaricoViewing
1.00%
Hunter Biden
1.00%
Ro Khanna
1.00%
Gretchen Whitmer
0.95%
J.B. Pritzker
0.95%
Tulsi Gabbard
0.55%
Glenn Youngkin
0.35%
Jamie Dimon
0.35%
Vivek Ramaswamy
0.25%
Greg Abbott
0.25%
Nikki Haley
0.20%
Stephen A. Smith
0.15%
Tim Walz
0.10%

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