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Politics · Kalshi

Wes Moore — Who will win the next presidential election?

Trade on Kalshi →
1.35%
0.00% fee-adjusted
Jun 07Jun 14Jun 21Jun 28Jul 05Jul 12Jul 19Jul 26Aug 02Aug 09Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30Sep 0600.511.522.533.544.55%1.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 1.6% in 14d (1.2–2.2%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$10
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Other Real Candidates — 30 Total

Every other real Kalshi contract for this exact same question, ranked by real live probability.

J.D. Vance
21.50%
Marco Rubio
12.50%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11.50%
Jon Ossoff
10.50%
Gavin Newsom
8.45%
Kamala Harris
4.25%
Pete Buttigieg
3.55%
Mark Kelly
3.55%
Ron DeSantis
3.35%
Andy Beshear
3.00%
Donald J. Trump
2.95%
Josh Shapiro
2.70%
Tucker Carlson
2.25%
Rahm Emanuel
1.50%
Wes MooreViewing
1.35%
J.B. Pritzker
1.10%
Donald J. Trump Jr.
1.05%
Gretchen Whitmer
1.00%
Thomas Massie
1.00%
James Talarico
1.00%
Hunter Biden
1.00%
Ro Khanna
1.00%
Tulsi Gabbard
0.65%
Glenn Youngkin
0.35%
Jamie Dimon
0.35%
Vivek Ramaswamy
0.30%
Greg Abbott
0.25%
Stephen A. Smith
0.20%
Nikki Haley
0.15%
Tim Walz
0.10%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Wes Moore — Who will win the next presidential election?"?

As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 1.35%, based on $10 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 21, 2029, per Kalshi's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.