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Sports · Polymarket

Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?

Trade on Polymarket →
47.50%
45.8% calibrated
Wed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PMMon 2812 PM4244464850525456%47.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$86.1K

Your call

The market says 47.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price47.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability48.00%
2083
Shares
$1,083
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.1%)
Mid Price
47.5¢
Total Depth
$374,579
Bid/Ask Imbalance
32% bid
Bids (Buy)
47.0¢28,480
46.0¢65,478
45.0¢28,095
44.0¢85,726
43.0¢27,052
42.0¢16,747
41.0¢6,634
40.0¢34
Asks (Sell)
48.0¢22,245
49.0¢74,757
50.0¢85,561
51.0¢52,295
52.0¢68,810
53.0¢35,505
54.0¢30,500
55.0¢10,517
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
48.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
48.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
48.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 9 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Japan
99.95%
Uruguay
99.95%
France
51.50%
SwedenViewing
47.50%
Montenegro
37.50%
Türkiye
35.50%
Armenia
32.50%
Venezuela
0.05%
Korea Republic
0.05%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 47.50%, based on $86.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 28, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.