Every Live Market

Real, live consensus probabilities from Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, and Limitless — one place to see every active contract we track, from elections and Fed rate decisions to Oscar winners and NFL odds.

Every Live Market

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Will there be a recession in 2027?

Before Oct 1, 2026 — When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?

Between 0.3% and 0.7% — Brazil’s GDP growth rate for Q2-2026

0.2% or less — Brazil’s GDP growth rate for Q2-2026

Between 0.8% and 1.2% — Brazil’s GDP growth rate for Q2-2026

1.3% or more — Brazil’s GDP growth rate for Q2-2026

3.5% or more — US basic interest rate at the end of 2026

3.25%-3.49% — US basic interest rate at the end of 2026

2.75%-2.99% — US basic interest rate at the end of 2026

3.00%-3.24% — US basic interest rate at the end of 2026

2.50%-2.74% — US basic interest rate at the end of 2026

Less than 2.25% — US basic interest rate at the end of 2026

2.25%-2.49% — US basic interest rate at the end of 2026

Greater than 3.75% — United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026

3.75% — United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026

3.50% — United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026

3.25% — United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026

3.0% or less — United Kingdom’s interest rate at the end of 2026

At least $1 billion — Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2028?

Before Jan 1, 2030 — When will Airtable officially announce an IPO?

Between 82.1% and 87.0% — Brazil’s public debt-GDP ratio at the end of 2026

Between 77.1% and 82.0% — Brazil’s public debt-GDP ratio at the end of 2026

Between 87.1% and 92.0% — Brazil’s public debt-GDP ratio at the end of 2026

92.1% or more — Brazil’s public debt-GDP ratio at the end of 2026

77% or less — Brazil’s public debt-GDP ratio at the end of 2026

Above 20,000 — US nonfarm payrolls — August 2026

Above 30,000 — US nonfarm payrolls — August 2026

Above 40,000 — US nonfarm payrolls — August 2026

Above 50,000 — US nonfarm payrolls — August 2026

Above 60,000 — US nonfarm payrolls — August 2026

Above 80,000 — US nonfarm payrolls — August 2026

Above 90,000 — US nonfarm payrolls — August 2026

Above 70,000 — US nonfarm payrolls — August 2026

2.1% to 2.5% — GDP growth in 2027?

Before Jan 1, 2027 — When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?

25 bps increase — Fed interest rate decision — September 2026

No change — Fed interest rate decision — September 2026

25 bps decrease — Fed interest rate decision — September 2026

50+ bps decrease — Fed interest rate decision — September 2026

50+ bps increase — Fed interest rate decision — September 2026

Above 3.7% — US unemployment rate — August 2026

Above 3.9% — US unemployment rate — August 2026

Above 3.8% — US unemployment rate — August 2026

Above 4.0% — US unemployment rate — August 2026

Above 4.1% — US unemployment rate — August 2026

Above 4.2% — US unemployment rate — August 2026

Above 4.3% — US unemployment rate — August 2026

Above 4.4% — US unemployment rate — August 2026

Between 1.5% and 1.7% — Argentina monthly inflation — August 2026

Between 1.8% and 2.0% — Argentina monthly inflation — August 2026