Every Live Market

Real, live consensus probabilities from Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, and Limitless — one place to see every active contract we track, from elections and Fed rate decisions to Oscar winners and NFL odds.

VolumeProbabilityClosing Soonest

575 markets · updated 11:25:29 PM · refreshes every 90s

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 0.7524H

2.45%+3982

Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

2.45%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $412.1K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▼ 2.0024H

69.50%-228

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

69.50%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $396.3K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▼ 0.5024H

1.75%

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

1.75%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $254.6K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 0.0524H

0.80%

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0.80%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $208.5K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

0.15%

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

0.15%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $206.1K

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

▼ 0.05

0.3%

D

Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

0.3%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $199.6K

+35 more

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 2.8524H

99.95%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

99.95%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $172.3K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

0.15%

Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.15%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $145.9K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▼ 0.3024H

0.15%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

0.15%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $131.4K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 3.1524H

24.70%+305

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

24.70%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $128.6K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 0.5024H

82.00%-456

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

82.00%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $118.9K

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

0.6%

D

Will Cory Booker be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

0.6%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $100.2K

+35 more

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

0.1%

D

Will Andrew Yang be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?

0.1%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $97.0K

+10 more

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 0.1024H

0.35%

R

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0.35%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $96.6K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 0.1524H

1.60%

D

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1.60%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $95.4K

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

0.1%

D

Will Jasmine Crockett be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?

0.1%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $92.5K

+10 more

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

0.15%

Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?

0.15%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $88.7K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 0.1024H

2.35%+4155

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

2.35%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $85.9K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

20.50%+388

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

20.50%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $78.2K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

13.50%+641

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

13.50%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $76.0K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▼ 2.2024H

39.25%+155

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

39.25%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $70.9K

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

▲ 0.50

11.5%+770

Jon Ossoff — Who will win the next presidential election?

11.5%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $66.5K

+29 more

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 0.2524H

3.80%+2532

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?

3.80%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $61.9K

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

1.1%

R

Will Glenn Youngkin be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

1.1%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $59.0K

+37 more

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 2.0024H

13.50%+641

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

13.50%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $58.2K

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

▲ 4.00

5.0%+1900

Will Danielle Alvarez be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

5.0%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $55.9K

+27 more

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

0.15%

Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

0.15%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $55.2K

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

▼ 0.05

0.1%

D

Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

0.1%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $53.2K

+35 more

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▼ 15.1524H

4.65%+2051

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

4.65%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $50.3K

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

0.1%

D

Will Elizabeth Warren be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?

0.1%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $50.0K

+10 more

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 0.1024H

1.10%

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?

1.10%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $48.4K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

0.15%

Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

0.15%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $47.1K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▼ 0.2024H

0.05%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

0.05%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $45.8K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

10.35%+866

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

10.35%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $44.5K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

0.25%

Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

0.25%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $44.2K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

0.15%

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

0.15%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $43.3K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 0.1524H

0.30%

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.30%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $43.2K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

0.15%

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.15%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $39.5K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 0.0524H

1.20%

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

1.20%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $38.8K

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

▼ 0.50

18.5%+441

R

Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

18.5%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $37.6K

+37 more

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 2.5524H

61.90%-162

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

61.90%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $36.9K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▼ 0.1024H

0.85%

NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

0.85%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $36.4K

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

▲ 5.70

8.5%+1076

Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

8.5%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $35.2K

+27 more

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 1.0024H

86.50%-641

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

86.50%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $34.2K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▼ 0.5024H

8.00%+1150

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?

8.00%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $34.2K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▼ 0.2524H

4.35%+2199

D

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

4.35%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $33.9K

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

▼ 0.50

43.5%+130

R

Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

43.5%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $33.2K

+37 more

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

▼ 0.25

5.2%+1842

D

Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

5.2%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $33.0K

+35 more

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▼ 1.5024H

73.50%-277

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

73.50%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $32.6K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 0.1524H

0.90%

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0.90%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $31.2K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

1.15%

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1.15%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $30.8K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▼ 2.0524H

11.25%+789

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

11.25%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $30.0K

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

1.0%

Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

1.0%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $28.6K

+27 more

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

▲ 0.50

13.5%+641

D

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

13.5%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $28.2K

+35 more

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 0.9024H

8.55%+1070

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

8.55%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $27.0K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

55.50%-125

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

55.50%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $26.6K

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▼ 7.0024H

18.50%+441

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

18.50%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $25.9K

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

▼ 0.10

1.2%

R

Will Pete Hegseth be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

1.2%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $25.3K

+37 more

Kalshi· PoliticsLive

▼ 0.05

1.9%

D

Will Ro Khanna be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

1.9%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $25.1K

+35 more

Polymarket· PoliticsLive

▲ 4.0024H

41.50%+141

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

41.50%Live price only —
no history published

VOL $24.8K

Show 60 More (515 remaining)